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The Long-Term Investor's Blueprint

Build an index-fund mix for your age and your stomach for a drop, with the exact tickers at your broker. Then a nightly screen for any stocks you pick yourself, and the order to fill your accounts.

All free, all evidence-based, no upsell. Educational only β€” not investment advice. Always verify before making decisions.

Step 1 Β· Build your foundation with index funds

Most of your money belongs in index funds

For typical investors, 80–95% of investment dollars should sit in low-cost, broadly diversified index funds. Over any 20-year stretch the S&P 500 has beaten most actively managed funds after fees. Tell the builder four things and it will draft your target mix using the 120-minus-age and 65/35 domestic/international guidelines Vanguard and Fidelity use for their target-date funds.

25 years
Asset class Target Ticker Dollars

Rebalance once a year, or whenever a sleeve drifts more than five percentage points from its target. The simplest way: direct new contributions toward whatever's underweight.

Step 2 Β· Pick individual stocks (optional)

A nightly screen for the stocks you want to pick yourself

Stock picking is for the small slice of your portfolio where you want to be hands-on β€” usually no more than 5–10% of what you invest. Only pick a stock if you have a real reason: you understand the business better than the market does, you want exposure to a kind of company that index funds blend away, or you just want a small practice account. The screen below ranks 400+ U.S. stocks every night on six research-backed factors, filters out financially shaky companies, tells you whether it's even a good time to be buying, and pairs every top pick with an AI-written "here's what could go wrong" note based on earnings calls, analyst forecasts, and insider trading.

Last updated
August 14, 2026
Market regime
BULLISH
Regime score
70/100
Stocks ranked
30
Click to see the six factors explained in plain English
Factor Plain English Source
Momentum (30%) Stocks up over the last year tend to keep going up β€” markets trend. Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993
Low Volatility (20%) Boring, steady stocks outperform risky ones on a risk-adjusted basis. Blitz & van Vliet, 2007
Gross Profitability (25%) (Revenue βˆ’ COGS) / Assets β€” how much a company earns from its actual business, per dollar of assets owned. Novy-Marx, 2013
Free Cash Flow Yield (10%) Real cash left after all expenses / company value. Accounting profits can lie. Cash cannot. Fama & French, 2006
Low Accruals (10%) Small gap between reported earnings and actual cash collected. Wide gaps signal trouble. Sloan, 1996
Low Asset Growth (5%) Companies that expand assets slowly beat aggressive empire-builders. Titman, Wei & Xie, 2004

The Long-Term Investor's Blueprint

Market Regime: BULLISH |  Score: 70/100 |  August 14, 2026 |  Top 30 Ranked Stocks
#TickerCompany + SectorCompositeFactor OverviewAI Analysis
1
ROST
$244.96
Ross Stores, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
1.0
Momentum█████+2.22
6M Mom█████+0.96
Volatility███░░-0.60
Quality█████+2.03
Value███░░-0.12
Accruals█████+0.98
Inv Growth████░+0.37
Business
Ross Stores operates off-price retail chains (Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS), selling discounted brand-name apparel, footwear, and ...
Caution
Earnings are in 5 days (2026-08-19), and the stock could gap on the print, yet the quant score does not factor in guidance changes. Insider ...
2
SU
$65.43
Suncor Energy Inc.
Energy
0.7
Momentum█████+1.62
6M Mom█████+0.54
Volatility██░░░-0.82
Quality█████+0.79
Value█████+1.11
Accruals█████+1.66
Inv Growth█████+0.91
Business
Suncor Energy is an integrated Canadian oil company that extracts crude oil from Alberta's oil sands and refines it into gasoline, diesel, a...
Caution
Despite the bullish analyst consensus (23 buys), management's Q2 2026 earnings call revealed concerns about margin pressureβ€”likely from narr...
3
AAPL
$305.26
Apple Inc.
Technology
0.7
Momentum█████+0.51
6M Mom████░+0.27
Volatility███░░-0.54
Quality█████+3.00
Value███░░-0.30
Accruals██░░░-1.04
Inv Growth█████+1.13
Business
Apple designs and sells iPhones, Macs, iPads, wearables, and services like iCloud and Apple Music, making most of its money from hardware sa...
Caution
Despite a high Piotroski F-Score, insider selling has been heavy (27 sells vs. 3 buys in the last 6 months), and analyst consensus shows 3 o...
4
MPC
$356.37
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Energy
0.6
Momentum█████+2.41
6M Mom█████+3.00
Volatility█░░░░-1.58
Quality████░+0.17
Value████░+0.28
Accruals█████+0.75
Inv Growth████░+0.09
Business
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) operates in the Energy sector. Gross profitability of 0.2%. This reflects core business economics and c...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -1.58 z-score.
5
STT
$189.85
State Street Corporation
Financial Services
0.6
Momentum█████+1.44
6M Mom█████+2.84
Volatility███░░-0.45
Quality██░░░-0.77
Value█████+3.00
Accruals███░░-0.14
Inv Growth████░+0.46
Business
State Street is a financial services company that primarily makes money by providing custody, accounting, and administration services to ins...
Caution
Despite the bullish analyst consensus (14 buys, 0 sells), insider activity shows 16 sells versus 14 buys, with nearly 80,000 shares soldβ€”ins...
6
GD
$392.96
General Dynamics Corporation
Industrials
0.6
Momentum███░░-0.63
6M Mom████░+0.24
Volatility████░+0.15
Quality█████+2.54
Value████░+0.03
Accruals███░░-0.44
Inv Growth█████+0.61
Business
General Dynamics makes money by building warships and submarines for the U.S. Navy, plus Gulfstream business jets, and it also sells tanks, ...
Caution
Insider selling is heavyβ€”19 sales totaling 464,263 shares versus just 11 buys in the last six monthsβ€”and while analyst sentiment is positive...
7
TGT
$155.51
Target Corporation
Consumer Defensive
0.5
Momentum█████+0.54
6M Mom█████+1.99
Volatility█░░░░-1.37
Quality█████+1.60
Value████░+0.03
Accruals█████+0.68
Inv Growth█████+0.54
Business
Target runs a chain of big-box discount stores and its website, selling groceries, household essentials, clothing, and home goods. It makes ...
Caution
Earnings are due in 5 days (2026-08-19), so the stock could gap on the printβ€”and the quant score can't predict guidance. Management faces a ...
8
PSX
$232.61
Phillips 66
Energy
0.5
Momentum█████+1.82
6M Mom█████+2.77
Volatility█░░░░-1.38
Quality█████+0.64
Value████░+0.12
Accruals██░░░-0.73
Inv Growth█████+0.73
Business
Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company that refines crude oil into fuels like gasoline and jet fuel, and also runs midstream pipelines,...
Caution
Despite a high financial-strength F-Score of 7, insider activity over the last 6 months shows 19 sells vs 11 buys, and recent headlines high...
9
HST
$22.75
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
Real Estate
0.4
Momentum█████+1.63
6M Mom█████+0.66
Volatility███░░-0.56
Quality███░░-0.70
Value█████+1.40
Accruals█████+0.99
Inv Growth█████+0.93
Business
Host Hotels & Resorts owns a portfolio of luxury and upper-upscale hotels across the U.S. and internationally, and it makes money by collect...
Caution
Despite the bullish analyst consensus (15 buy, 0 sell), insider activity shows 9 sells vs. 21 buys β€” but the sells are concentrated among la...
10
GOOGL
$346.36
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services
0.4
Momentum█████+2.25
6M Mom████░-0.06
Volatility█░░░░-1.58
Quality█████+1.35
Value███░░-0.41
Accruals█████+0.91
Inv Growth░░░░░-3.00
Business
Alphabet makes money primarily through Google search and YouTube ads, plus cloud computing and app store fees, with YouTube and Search drivi...
Caution
Despite 62 buy ratings, insider selling outweighs buying 3:1 in shares over the last six months, and the -3.00 investment growth z-score sug...
11
GOOG
$343.94
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services
0.4
Momentum█████+2.21
6M Mom███░░-0.13
Volatility█░░░░-1.53
Quality█████+1.35
Value███░░-0.41
Accruals█████+0.91
Inv Growth░░░░░-3.00
Business
Alphabet makes money primarily through Google Search ads, followed by YouTube ads and cloud computing subscriptions, with users and advertis...
Caution
The investment growth z-score is deeply negative (-3.00), signaling that Alphabet is spending aggressively on infrastructure (e.g., $420 bil...
12
ITW
$290.98
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Industrials
0.3
Momentum██░░░-1.12
6M Mom██░░░-1.05
Volatility████░+0.17
Quality█████+2.94
Value████░-0.10
Accruals██░░░-0.86
Inv Growth████░+0.00
Business
Illinois Tool Works makes specialized industrial tools and equipment, like the Paslode staplers, and earns money by selling these products t...
Caution
Analysts are notably bearish with 9 sell ratings versus 2 buys, and Evercore ISI explicitly maintains an Underperform rating even after rais...
13
MNST
$46.68
Monster Beverage Corporation
Consumer Defensive
0.3
Momentum█████+1.20
6M Mom░░░░░-2.19
Volatility███░░-0.62
Quality█████+2.47
Value███░░-0.30
Accruals███░░-0.32
Inv Growth░░░░░-2.86
Business
Monster Beverage makes and sells energy drinks like Monster Energy and Reign, earning money from wholesale sales to distributors, retailers,...
Caution
Despite the strong quality score, insider selling is heavyβ€”13 sells totaling over 2 million shares versus just 76,684 shares boughtβ€”and the ...
14
ADM
$80.15
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Consumer Defensive
0.3
Momentum█████+0.58
6M Mom████░+0.28
Volatility██░░░-0.86
Quality███░░-0.30
Value█████+1.40
Accruals█████+1.91
Inv Growth█████+1.14
Business
ADM is a global agricultural processor and ingredient provider, making money by buying crops like corn, soybeans, and wheat, processing them...
Caution
Despite the quant scores, the analyst community is bearish with 7 sell ratings versus only 2 buys, and there has been 1 insider sell in the ...
15
AIZ
$280.92
Assurant, Inc.
Financial Services
0.3
Momentum█████+0.60
6M Mom█████+1.37
Volatility████░-0.01
Quality██░░░-0.77
Value█████+1.91
Accruals████░-0.07
Inv Growth████░+0.46
Business
Assurant is a specialty insurer that makes money by underwriting mobile device protection plans and lender-placed homeowners insurance, coll...
Caution
Even with 11 buy ratings, the last six months show 14 insider sells (60,338 shares) versus 16 buys (28,061 shares) β€” a net sell signal from ...
16
IEX
$239.13
IDEX Corporation
Industrials
0.2
Momentum████░+0.21
6M Mom████░+0.31
Volatility████░-0.08
Quality█████+0.65
Value████░-0.04
Accruals████░-0.00
Inv Growth█████+0.58
Business
IDEX Corporation makes engineered fluid-handling products like pumps, valves, and dispensing equipment, along with firefighting tools and he...
Caution
Despite a strong financial score and insider buying (20 buys vs 5 sells), the stock's value factor is slightly negative (z=-0.04) and moment...
17
FRT
$118.89
Federal Realty Investment Trust
Real Estate
0.2
Momentum████░+0.09
6M Mom████░+0.20
Volatility█████+1.60
Quality███░░-0.70
Value████░+0.28
Accruals███░░-0.19
Inv Growth███░░-0.13
Business
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties, primarily on the East C...
Caution
Despite a 17/8 buy/hold analyst consensus, insider activity shows a net sell of 840 shares over the past six months, and the recent REIT ear...
18
KO
$87.42
The Coca-Cola Company
Consumer Defensive
0.1
Momentum███░░-0.28
6M Mom████░-0.07
Volatility█████+1.10
Quality█████+1.10
Value███░░-0.51
Accruals░░░░░-2.60
Inv Growth████░+0.38
Business
Coca-Cola makes most of its money by selling concentrated syrup and finished beverages to bottlers and retailers worldwide, earning high-mar...
Caution
Insider selling outweighs buying by 2.4 million shares versus 0.95 million over the last six months, with 21 sells to 9 buysβ€”a signal that e...
19
NUE
$272.29
Nucor Corporation
Basic Materials
0.1
Momentum█████+2.06
6M Mom█████+2.33
Volatility█░░░░-1.39
Quality██░░░-0.89
Value██░░░-0.89
Accruals████░+0.48
Inv Growth████░+0.49
Business
Nucor makes steel and steel products, including sheet, bar, and joists, and earns money by selling those products at market prices while usi...
Caution
Although analysts have 17 buys and no sells, insider activity shows 19 sells versus 11 buys in the last six months, and the company’s heavy ...
20
TRV
$370.00
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Financial Services
0.1
Momentum████░+0.36
6M Mom█████+0.89
Volatility████░+0.44
Quality██░░░-0.77
Value█████+0.68
Accruals████░+0.05
Inv Growth████░-0.09
Business
Travelers is a property and casualty insurer that makes money by collecting premiums from individuals and businesses and investing those fun...
Caution
Despite a decent Piotroski score, insider selling outpaces buying (21 sells vs 9 buys) and 5 analysts say sell, while sector headlines warn ...
21
CVX
$197.70
Chevron Corporation
Energy
0.1
Momentum███░░-0.16
6M Mom███░░-0.19
Volatility███░░-0.23
Quality█████+0.75
Value████░+0.14
Accruals█████+1.33
Inv Growth░░░░░-2.44
Business
Chevron is an integrated oil and gas company that makes money by extracting and selling crude oil and natural gas, and by refining and selli...
Caution
Despite 26 analyst buy ratings, insider activity over the last six months shows heavy net sellingβ€”3.76 million shares sold versus 1.17 milli...
22
PBR
$17.89
PetrΓ³leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Energy
0.1
Momentum█████+0.89
6M Mom████░+0.42
Volatility█░░░░-1.52
Quality████░+0.41
Value████░+0.10
Accruals█████+1.57
Inv Growth░░░░░-1.96
Business
Petrobras is Brazil's state-controlled oil giant, making money by extracting, refining, and selling crude oil and petroleum products, with p...
Caution
Despite solid earnings, insider selling outweighs buying 23-to-1 over the last six months (6 sells vs 1 buy), and the stock's high volatilit...
23
ABBV
$250.82
AbbVie Inc.
Healthcare
0.1
Momentum████░-0.08
6M Mom████░-0.08
Volatility██░░░-0.72
Quality███░░-0.35
Value████░+0.02
Accruals█████+2.84
Inv Growth█████+1.04
Business
AbbVie makes most of its money from selling prescription drugs, led by Humira and newer immunology treatments like Skyrizi and Rinvoq, plus ...
Caution
Insider selling outweighs buying by a wide margin over the last six months (164,335 shares sold vs. 12,755 bought), and while analysts are b...
24
LH
$322.59
Labcorp Holdings Inc.
Healthcare
0.1
Momentum██░░░-0.87
6M Mom████░+0.26
Volatility███░░-0.17
Quality█████+0.62
Value████░+0.10
Accruals████░+0.45
Inv Growth█████+0.92
Business
Labcorp is a medical diagnostics company that makes money by running lab tests for patients, hospitals, and drug companies, plus selling cli...
Caution
Insider selling is a red flag: over the last six months, 21 insider sales (nearly 20k shares) outweigh 9 buys, including the CEO selling 4,6...
25
UNP
$297.79
Union Pacific Corporation
Industrials
0.1
Momentum███░░-0.19
6M Mom████░+0.14
Volatility████░+0.10
Quality████░+0.23
Value███░░-0.19
Accruals████░+0.08
Inv Growth█████+0.55
Business
Union Pacific is a railroad company that moves freightβ€”mostly coal, chemicals, and intermodal containersβ€”across the western U.S., making mon...
Caution
The stock has seen 29 insider buys versus only 1 sell in the last six months, but the buys are tiny (2,872 shares total) and might be compen...
26
SNA
$404.63
Snap-on Incorporated
Industrials
0.1
Momentum███░░-0.34
6M Mom███░░-0.35
Volatility████░+0.46
Quality█████+0.61
Value███░░-0.18
Accruals██░░░-0.72
Inv Growth████░+0.09
Business
Snap-on sells professional tools and diagnostic equipment to mechanics, technicians, and industrial customers, making money through its fran...
Caution
Insider activity over the past 6 months shows heavy sellingβ€”24 sells (103,896 shares) versus 6 buys (27,033 shares)β€”which often signals that...
27
KIM
$24.39
Kimco Realty Corporation
Real Estate
0.0
Momentum███░░-0.61
6M Mom███░░-0.10
Volatility█████+1.15
Quality███░░-0.70
Value████░+0.28
Accruals████░-0.05
Inv Growth█████+1.32
Business
Kimco Realty is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates open-air shopping centers across the U.S., making money primarily by l...
Caution
Despite 11 insider buys totaling 435,230 shares over the last six months, the stock’s momentum is weak (z-score -0.61) and quality is below ...
28
GL
$180.67
Globe Life Inc.
Financial Services
0.0
Momentum███░░-0.37
6M Mom█████+0.93
Volatility█████+0.65
Quality██░░░-0.72
Value█████+1.02
Accruals██░░░-0.72
Inv Growth████░+0.16
Business
Globe Life sells life insurance and supplemental health insurance, mainly to middle-income Americans through direct mail, online, and a netw...
Caution
Insider selling is heavyβ€”24 sells totaling 250,625 shares in the last six months versus only 6 buysβ€”which suggests those closest to the comp...
29
NSC
$337.85
Norfolk Southern Corporation
Industrials
-0.0
Momentum██░░░-0.74
6M Mom███░░-0.35
Volatility█████+0.54
Quality████░+0.23
Value███░░-0.21
Accruals████░+0.15
Inv Growth████░+0.47
Business
Norfolk Southern runs a major freight rail network in the eastern U.S., moving goods like coal, chemicals, and intermodal containers, and ea...
Caution
The big overhang is the proposed merger with Union Pacific, which seven state attorneys general are fighting, warning it could drive up ship...
30
PSA
$328.72
Public Storage
Real Estate
-0.0
Momentum███░░-0.68
6M Mom████░+0.11
Volatility███░░-0.14
Quality███░░-0.27
Value████░+0.28
Accruals█████+1.42
Inv Growth█████+0.63
Business
Public Storage (PSA) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates self-storage facilities, making money primarily through...
Caution
The stock has a 'hold' consensus (16 holds vs. 9 buys) and saw net insider selling over the last six months (7 sells of 127,612 shares vs. 2...
Step 3 Β· Put your money in the right accounts

Where each dollar should go, in order

Which fund you pick matters less than which account holds it. The list below walks through where to put each dollar β€” emergency fund, employer match, HSA, Roth IRA, and so on β€” based on 2026 IRS limits. Tap any tier to expand.

  1. Three to six months of essential expenses in a high-yield savings account. Without a cash buffer, a single emergency forces you to sell investments at a loss or take on penalty-laden withdrawals. This is insurance, not investing.

    Pay off anything above ~7–8% APR. Eliminating a 20% credit card balance is a guaranteed, risk-free 20% return β€” better than any investment can promise. Sub-5% debt (mortgages, federal student loans) can coexist with investing.

  2. A 50% match is an instant 50% return; a 100% match doubles your money the day it lands. Contribute enough to capture every dollar your employer offers β€” no other investment guarantees that kind of upside.

    2026 limits: $24,500 employee deferral. Age 50+ catch-up: +$8,000. Ages 60–63 super catch-up: +$11,250. Combined employee + employer cap: $72,000.

    New for 2026: if you earned over $150,000 in FICA wages the prior year, catch-up contributions must be made on a Roth basis.

  3. Contributions go in pre-tax, growth is tax-free, and qualified medical withdrawals are tax-free. After age 65 you can pull money out for any purpose at ordinary income rates β€” effectively a second IRA.

    2026 limits: $4,400 individual / $8,750 family. Age 55+ catch-up: +$1,000.

    The move most people miss: pay current medical bills out of pocket, save the receipts, and invest the HSA balance like a retirement account. You can reimburse yourself decades later, tax-free.

  4. Unlike a 401(k), the Roth IRA has no required minimum distributions and lets you withdraw contributions (not earnings) anytime without penalty. That makes it both a retirement vehicle and a flexible long-term reserve.

    2026 Roth IRA limits: $7,500 ($8,600 age 50+). Income phase-out: single $153k–$168k MAGI; married filing jointly $242k–$252k MAGI.

    Earn too much? Use the Backdoor Roth β€” contribute non-deductible to a Traditional IRA, then convert immediately. Watch the pro-rata rule if you already hold pre-tax IRA balances.

  5. Once the match and Roth IRA are handled, return to the 401(k) and fill it to the $24,500 employee deferral cap. Even at Roth-401(k) rates the account shelters far more than any IRA can.

    Choose Roth 401(k) if you're early-career and expect to be in the same or higher tax bracket later; choose pre-tax if you're peak-earnings and expect to draw the money down at lower rates.

  6. ESPP: a 10–15% discount with a lookback provision can produce a 20–30% instant return. Sell immediately on purchase β€” your salary already exposes you to your employer; don't let your investments do it too.

    Mega Backdoor Roth: if your 401(k) allows after-tax contributions plus in-plan Roth conversions, you can stuff the difference between your contributions + match and the $72,000 total cap straight into Roth. Often the single largest move available to high earners.

  7. Once tax-advantaged space is full, the taxable account is where real long-term wealth compounds. Hold broad-market index funds and ETFs to keep distributions low, harvest losses against gains, and use the long-term capital gains rate (0%, 15%, or 20%) by holding more than a year.

    Place bond funds and REITs inside tax-advantaged accounts when possible β€” they generate ordinary income that hurts most in a taxable account.

  8. Secure your own oxygen mask first. Children have access to loans, scholarships, and work-study; underfunding retirement turns you into a financial burden on them later. If your state offers a 529 tax deduction, contribute at least enough to capture it.

    SECURE 2.0 update: unused 529 funds can roll over to the beneficiary's Roth IRA β€” account open 15+ years, $35,000 lifetime cap, subject to annual Roth IRA limits.

  9. I Bonds adjust with inflation and are backed by the U.S. Treasury, capped at $10,000 per person per year. EE Bonds double in value if held 20 years. Both work as extensions of the emergency fund or near-term savings goals.

    After all of that β€” pay down low-interest debt as you choose, and spend on the experiences and giving that make the wealth worth building in the first place. Money is a tool, not a score.

2026 IRS limits, general guidance only. Not financial advice β€” a fiduciary advisor can sanity-check your specific situation.